COVID Remains A Major Health Challenge, Infectious Diseases To Watch Going Into 2025

Updated Jan 2, 2025 | 01:10 AM IST

COVID Remains A Major Health Challenge, Infectious Diseases To Watch Going Into 2025

SummaryCOVID-19 in 2024 continues to evolve with variants like KP.3.1.1 and XEC, causing unpredictable winter trends and highlighting persistent concerns over long COVID and vaccine efficacy.

As holiday lights twinkle and festive cheer fills the air, the shadow of COVID-19 looms once again. The past few winters have almost come to be identified with the dreaded "winter wave" of infections, which could potentially disrupt holiday gatherings and stretch healthcare systems to breaking point. Unlike in the summit of 2020 and the height of 2021 cases, hospitalizations, and death levels the panorama for 2024 continues proving complex and unpredictable. Having reached the sixth year from the start of the epidemic, COVID-19 challenges health systems worldwide.

From reports by the World Health Organization, between October 14 and November 10, 2024, fresh cases were reported from 77 countries. Then 27 nations documented the death toll due to coronavirus. Although the number of cases has been decreasing the past few months, the virus is not eradicated. In fact, it has mutated, and new types have emerged, such as the KP.3.1.1 and XEC, which are being followed closely for their possible role in altering transmissibility, severity, and vaccines' effectiveness.

Uncommon Patterns of Viral Activity This Year

What makes this year different is a peculiar trend that occurred from September to November. Levels of the virus in wastewater—a good predictor of community transmission—were surprisingly low. Hospitalizations and deaths were also trending toward record lows during this period. Yet recent CDC data shows a sharp uptick in viral activity in December, which leaves experts wondering if a delayed winter wave is on the horizon.

The unusual timing of this potential wave could also present a silver lining: it may fall outside the typical flu and RSV seasons, thereby decreasing the peak burden on hospitals simultaneously. However, uncertainty continues to prevail, and so, this holiday season remains one of the most unpredictable in history.

Also Read: Could COVID-19 Help Fight Cancer? A Groundbreaking Study Finds Out the Link

Lingering Health Crisis Post-COVID-19

Even as acute cases decline, the long-term effects of COVID-19 remain a significant concern. Post-COVID-19 condition, commonly referred to as "long COVID," affects approximately 6.2% of individuals who had symptomatic infections. Symptoms such as fatigue, breathlessness, and cognitive impairments like "brain fog" continue to plague millions, imposing a substantial burden on healthcare systems worldwide.

The WHO emphasizes the urgency of addressing PCC and requests that researchers, healthcare providers, and policymakers work more closely together. Even though there is a reported reduction in new cases of PCC-this is likely because of the widespread vaccination, new treatment protocols, and less virulent variants-the numbers are overwhelming.

Other Emerging Global Health Threats

While SARS-CoV-2 remains a global concern, there are many other infectious diseases health officials keep track of. Malaria, HIV, and tuberculosis together claim close to 2 million lives annually, which reminds people of the persistent threat that these longstanding diseases have on people. There are emerging pathogens that are resistant to current treatments, so vigilance by scientists and public health experts is constantly called for.

One of the most widely recognized viruses is H5N1, or bird flu. The influenza A subtype has been shown to cross species boundaries, affecting not only birds but also dairy cattle in the U.S. and horses in Mongolia. According to experts, H5N1 can be one of the key public health concerns for the year 2025. This can further complicate the fight against SARS-CoV-2. Essential

Vital Role of Vaccines in the COVID-19 Fight

The core of COVID-19 prevention continues to be vaccines. Vaccines have been recommended in various new formulations in the hope of preparing for current variants ahead of the winter virus season. But vaccine effectiveness may change as new strains emerge, thus requiring ongoing research and adjustment.

The global community needs to focus on equitable access to vaccines. Inequalities in access continue to plague efforts to control the pandemic, especially in regions where healthcare resources are already spread thin in low-income regions.

With life adapting to COVID-19, the need for vigilance and preparedness remains. Measures in public health such as mask-wearing in crowded places, regular hand hygiene, and keeping abreast with the vaccinations are important weapons against the spread of the virus.

Future threats include H5N1. Looking ahead, addressing the long-term challenge of PCC and preparing for future threats like H5N1 will be robust with proper global collaboration. Investment in health care infrastructure, research, and education is very crucial for resilience against pandemics.

Preparing for 2025: Lessons to Learn

The end of 2024 is nigh, and the COVID-19 landscape has never looked so familiar yet unpredictable. While hope lies in improvements in vaccines and treatment, there are still new variants appearing, and PCC's lingering presence reminds everyone that COVID-19 is far from won. Being informed and taking proactive steps can get through uncertainties while securing public health and well-being.

This holiday season, let's celebrate responsibly, keeping both loved ones and broader communities safe. The lessons of the past six years underscore the importance of resilience, adaptability, and collective action in overcoming the challenges that lie ahead.

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New RNA-Based TB Detection Could Soon Take Minutes, Not Months

Updated Apr 27, 2025 | 08:00 AM IST

New RNA-Based TB Detection Could Soon Take Minutes, Not Months

SummaryTuberculosis (TB) killed approximately 1.25 million people globally in 2023, surpassing all other infectious diseases, despite being curable with antibiotics. Diagnosis delays and treatment challenges continue to hinder global eradication efforts.

Tuberculosis (TB) is a deadly global health crisis despite being a curable disease. In 2023 alone, TB killed about 1.25 million people globally — more than any other infectious pathogen. While the ability of months- or years-long courses of antibiotics to kill Mycobacterium tuberculosis, the bacteria that cause the disease, treatment success is not certain for all. In fact, in approximately 12% of patients, TB recurs even after treatment.

The major roadblock is that clinicians today lack a specific test to see if TB bacteria were completely removed from the body by treatment. Failing to have accurate monitoring mechanisms, doctors have to implement the same six-month treatment regimen in all patients and accept that some will be over-treated and some will be failures. However, all that may soon change, thanks of a breakthrough RNA-based TB detection test that Dr. Kayvan Zainabadi, assistant professor of molecular microbiology at Weill Cornell Medicine, and his India-based team are developing.

Modern TB treatment protocols are dependent on clinical experience and sputum-based diagnostic procedures that identify bacterial DNA. However, these procedures are fraught with limitations. Despite the successful treatment, residual bacterial DNA can continue to be present in the patient's system, resulting in false positives and making it difficult to clearly perceive the status of the disease.

This diagnostic imprecision compels physicians to remain with a "one-size-fits-all" six-month treatment regimen, even when evidence indicates that most patients might be cured earlier. Long-term exposure to highly effective antibiotics not only risks patients developing side effects but also places a heavy burden on healthcare systems, particularly in low-resource settings where TB is most prevalent.

Dr. Zainabadi’s research introduces a groundbreaking concept: using ribosomal RNA (rRNA) as a rapid, sensitive, and accurate marker of TB infection. Unlike DNA, RNA is inherently less stable and degrades quickly after bacterial death, minimizing the risk of false positives.

The innovation is aimed at the detection of the 16S rRNA of Mycobacterium tuberculosis, which is a part essential to bacterial protein synthesis. Its prevalence in the cell makes it a prime target for detection even in small or difficult-to-access samples.

Significantly, this RNA-based method might overcome the sputum reliance that is sometimes tricky to obtain from high-risk populations such as children or HIV-infected individuals. Rather, less intrusive sample forms might be utilized, providing a more patient-centered, convenient, and scalable platform.

How Does It Work?

The RNA test operates by extracting 16S rRNA from patient samples and amplifying it using highly sensitive molecular methods. Since rRNA degrades quickly after bacterial cells die, detecting it gives real-time feedback regarding the presence of active TB infection — something DNA-based tests cannot consistently provide.

In practice, a sample would be taken from the patient (possibly from gastric fluid, blood, or other more readily accessible fluids) and run through the RNA detection system. If live bacteria are present, the 16S rRNA signature would show up in the test results, providing clinicians with an instant readout of disease activity.

The rapidity and precision of this methodology may significantly reduce diagnostic turnaround times from weeks or months to mere minutes or hours. This results in quicker clinical decisions, more targeted interventions, and substantial reductions in patient anxiety and healthcare expenditures.

Is It More Helpful Than Other Diagnostic Tests?

In comparison to conventional sputum microscopy and DNA-based molecular diagnostics, the RNA-based test has a number of revolutionary benefits.

First, its ability to target active infection — not just bacterial residue — prevents patients from being subjected to unnecessary or excessive treatment. This specificity is especially important in combating multidrug-resistant TB, where inappropriately using antibiotics exacerbates resistance problems.

Secondly, the fact that it can accept non-sputum samples makes it much more convenient. It is not possible for several children and immunocompromised individuals to produce sufficient sputum, and clinicians are left with the option of using invasive and less effective gastric lavage methods. An RNA-based test would equalize access to proper TB diagnosis among these high-risk populations.

Third, in the field of TB drug discovery, this test might be a game-changer. Rather than waiting two years to determine if a drug is effective, researchers would be able to monitor bacterial clearance in real-time, moving clinical trials forward more quickly and lowering costs.

Lastly, at a macro health systems level, a quick, precise, and less intrusive diagnostic device would be a game-changer for TB-endemic countries where resources are tightly constrained and the disease burden is highest.

The stakes are as high as they could possibly be. TB has continued to be a recalcitrant worldwide killer, too often fueled by diagnostic ambiguity and treatment inefficacy. An RNA-based diagnostic test such as the one Dr. Zainabadi and his colleagues are creating is not only an incremental step but a potential paradigm shift in how we combat the disease.

As the study continues, the expectation is that this new technology will not only revolutionize individual patient treatment but also redefine the public health sector in the global fight against tuberculosis.

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Measles Cases In US Hit 900 Mark, 10 States Reporting Active Outbreak; Is Prevention The Only Cure?

Updated Apr 27, 2025 | 07:16 AM IST

Measles Cases In US Hit 900 Mark, 10 States Reporting Active Outbreak; Is Prevention The Only Cure?

SummaryThe United States has reported over 900 confirmed measles cases across 10 states, marking the highest surge in years. Health officials warn that low vaccination rates are fueling the outbreaks.

With measles cases soaring to nearly 900 across the United States, public health officials are raising the alarm over what is rapidly becoming an escalating crisis. The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) has reported 884 cases in 29 states, a whopping threefold increase over all of 2024. With ten states now reporting active outbreaks, the urgent question remains- is prevention really the only cure?

The United States, in 2000 having declared measles eliminated, now confronts a sobering resurgence. Most of the cases currently, 646, are from Texas, where an outbreak based in West Texas continues to expand after almost three months. Some of the states that are struggling with ongoing outbreaks are Indiana, Kansas, Michigan, Montana, New Mexico, Oklahoma, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Tennessee.

Unfortunately, two West Texas unvaccinated children and a New Mexico adult have died from measles complications. These deaths reinforce the outbreak's severity and the vulnerability of unvaccinated groups.

Adding to the worry, North America is not alone in this battle. Nearby nations report similar crises — Ontario, Canada, has recorded more than 1,020 cases, and Mexico's Chihuahua state has recorded 605 cases attributed to the Texas outbreak, reports the World Health Organization (WHO).

Why Is Measles Making a Comeback?

Measles is among the most infectious viruses, able to stay in the air and on surfaces for hours after a person infected with it coughs, sneezes, or even breathes. In an extremely immunized population, the disease cannot spread — an effect called "herd immunity." But when vaccination rates are low, vulnerability pockets form.

A number of factors are to blame for the outbreak:

Waning Vaccination Coverage: CDC reports a troubling trend. For the 2023–24 school year, vaccination coverage of kindergartners in the United States declined to 92.7% for the MMR vaccine from 93% in the last school year. Worryingly, vaccine exemptions reached 3.3%, a record high.

Regional Vulnerabilities: In the epicenter of the outbreak, Gaines County, Texas, MMR vaccination coverage has fallen to a mere 82%, well short of the 95% required to ensure herd immunity. Not surprisingly, children have borne the brunt: of 198 cases in the region, 153 were in people under the age of 18, the majority of whom were unvaccinated or whose vaccination status was unknown.

Global Trends and Misinformation: Globally, vaccine hesitancy, driven by misinformation, concern over side effects, and public health messaging distrust, is weakening immunization efforts. Discredited theory linking MMR vaccines to autism, though disproven, remains active, with special presence on social media outlets.

Though frequently confused as a harmless illness of childhood, measles can be fatal. Measles attacks the respiratory tract first and then the rest of the body, producing high fever, cough, nasal discharge, red, watery eyes, and a characteristic rash that initially appears on the face and travels downward.

Measles can have serious complications, including:

  • Pneumonia: One of the main causes of death in measles.
  • Blindness: Due to scarring of the cornea.
  • Encephalitis: Fatal brain swelling that may result in permanent brain damage or death.

The CDC says the rash accompanied by fever may rise to more than 104 degrees Fahrenheit. Most healthy children will bounce back, but for at-risk groups — especially the unvaccinated — the virus can rapidly become deadly.

Why MMR Vaccine is The First Line of Defense?

CDC and WHO are in agreement: vaccination is still the best way to prevent measles. The measles, mumps, and rubella (MMR) vaccine is most often given in two doses — the first dose between 12 and 15 months, and the second dose between 4 and 6 years. The vaccine is safe, works, and has decades of proven success.

For those worried about declining immunity, taking an extra dose is harmless. Those vaccinated prior to 1968 with an ineffective "killed" virus vaccine should have at least one additional dose.

Where vaccination coverage is over 95%, outbreaks are uncommon because the virus has few susceptible hosts. Widespread exemptions and misinformation have, however, resulted in severe immunity gaps, enabling measles to gain a foothold once again.

The increase in cases is not so much a matter of gaps in healthcare logistics. It is symptomatic of deeper loss of faith in science and public health organizations.

Experts refer to a range of factors promoting vaccine hesitancy:

Misinformation: Rumors about the side effects of vaccines, with a focus on unfounded speculations about an MMR-a Autism link.

Skepticism following COVID-19: Distrust generated by the pandemic has seeped over into routine vaccination.

Needle Phobia or Side Effects: Fear and misconceptions regarding ingredients or eventual outcomes of vaccines remain a concern among parents.

Similar trends globally are reflected in concerns. In the United Kingdom, for example, MMR vaccination coverage at age 5 decreased to their lowest levels since the 2010–11 periods, contributing to more than 2,900 cases of measles to date this year.

Is Prevention the Only Cure?

Plain and simple, yes. There is no antiviral therapy for measles. Supportive care — treating fever, maintaining hydration, and managing secondary infections — is all that can be provided once infection has been established.

In the absence of curative treatments, vaccination is not only the best weapon against measles — it is the sole weapon.

Public health experts stress that immediate action is imperative. Targeted public awareness campaigns, coordination with global agencies such as WHO and UNICEF, and combating vaccine misinformation directly are key strategies. Re-establishing trust and guaranteeing mass vaccination is the only long-term solution to forestalling future outbreaks.

The current upsurge in cases of measles all over the U.S. and globally is a chilling reminder: complacency can reverse decades of public health advances.

In a time of unparalleled access to medical information and resources, no child should ever die from a preventable illness like measles. The way forward is simple — revitalize immunization programs, fight misinformation, and advance community health through fact-based, science-driven advocacy.

Preventing measles isn't merely about saving individual lives — it is about protecting future generations.

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India Pushes to eliminate measles and rubella

Credits: Canva

Updated Apr 26, 2025 | 02:00 PM IST

World Immunization Week: India Pushes To Eliminate Measles And Rubella By 2026

SummaryIndia launched a week-long MR vaccination drive during World Immunization Week to eliminate measles and rubella by 2026, aiming for 100% child coverage.

As a part of World Immunization Week, which is observed from April 24 to 30, to promote the life-saving power of immunization, notes the World Health Organization (WHO), India has launched a week-long campaign to vaccinate 100% of children against measles and rubella. This is a move described as crucial to country's goal of eliminating the two viral diseases by 2026, noted Union Health Minister JP Nadda.

As per WHO, this week aims to promote the power of immunization to protect people of all ages against vaccine-preventable diseases. Vaccines are one of humanity's greatest achievements, notes WHO. Since 1974, they have saved 150 million lives.

As per India's aim, Nadda suggests that health workers must not only ensure complete vaccination overage, but also remain vigilant through robust disease surveillance. “Measles is very contagious. Even a single case must be treated as a warning signal. We have to cover immunity gaps and ensure no child is left behind,” he said.

As per WHO, India has reported 4,388 cases of measles and 527 cases of rubella so fat this year.

What Are Measles And Rubella?

Measles is a highly contagious viral infection marked by symptoms such as high fever, rash, cough, red eyes, muscle pain, and headache. Though often seen as a childhood illness, measles can lead to severe complications, including pneumonia, brain swelling (encephalitis), and even death, particularly in malnourished children and those with weakened immune systems.

Rubella, caused by a different virus, typically results in milder symptoms in children and adults. However, it poses a grave risk to pregnant women. Infection during pregnancy, particularly in the first trimester, can cause miscarriage, stillbirth, or congenital rubella syndrome (CRS) — a condition leading to serious birth defects like heart problems, deafness, and developmental delays. According to WHO, rubella control is essential for reducing infant mortality and morbidity.

History of Measles and Rubella Vaccination In India

India has a long battle with measles, which had accounted for a significant portion of global measle deaths. In order to tackle this, the country introduced measles vaccination in 1985, under the Universal Immunisation Programme. However, rubella vaccination lagged behind until the Measles-Rubella (MR) vaccination campaign was launched in 2017.

This massive drive aimed to immunize 410 million children between 9 months and 15 years of age, marking one of the largest vaccination campaigns in the world, according to the Ministry of Health and Family Welfare. Post-campaign, the MR vaccine was incorporated into India’s routine immunization schedule, with two doses given between 9–12 months and 16–24 months of age.

Since measles and rubella are both highly contagious, health authorities say that achieving very high vaccination coverage — over 95% — is critical for creating herd immunity and stopping outbreaks.

Is India Close To Its Goal?

Health Ministry data shows promising progress: in 2024–25, 93.7% of children received the first MR vaccine dose, while 92.2% received the second. However, to achieve disease elimination, India needs to push these numbers above 95% consistently across all regions.

Highlighting the importance of full coverage, Nadda called upon public representatives to actively support the campaign and spread awareness, particularly in hard-to-reach areas.

Despite progress, India faced a significant measles outbreak in 2023. The country was among 57 globally that saw major outbreaks after routine immunization services were disrupted during the Covid-19 pandemic. In 2023 alone, India reported 68,794 cases of measles and 2,930 cases of rubella.

Responding to the surge, the government intensified supplementary immunization activities, targeting areas where outbreaks occurred. The impact is visible: measles cases dropped by 73% and rubella by 17% in 2024 compared to the previous year.

With sustained efforts, India is now on a strong path towards achieving measles and rubella elimination by 2026.

Note: The data is taken from World Health Organization and Ministry of Health and Family Welfare, Government of India.

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