While most of the world is experiencing fewer deaths from chronic disease, India is heading in the opposite direction. The Lancet's latest analysis reveals non-communicable disease such as diabetes, cancer, and heart disease are shortening more lives—particularly among women. The statistics don't simply provide data, they tell a tale of lifestyle changes, unequal healthcare access, and who bears the largest burden.A recent paper in The Lancet has shed new light on a disconcerting Indian trend: deaths due to non-communicable diseases (NCDs) are increasing, even as the remainder of the globe experiences improvement. These results indicate a pressing public health threat, with women shouldering the highest burden.During 2010-2019, the majority of the globe experienced a decline in deaths due to long-term conditions like heart disease, diabetes, and some cancers. Indeed, about 80 percent of nations witnessed a fall, enhancing survival for millions. But India defied this. The research monitored 185 nations and determined that deaths from NCDs went down globally, but India saw a dramatic rise.For men, the probability of dying from an NCD between birth and age 80 rose from 56 percent in 2001 to nearly 58 percent in 2019. For women, the picture was starker. After a modest decline between 2001 and 2010, mortality rates surged in the following decade. By 2019, the likelihood of an Indian woman dying from an NCD before turning 80 was 48.7 percent, compared to 46.7 percent in 2001.Why Women Are at Higher Risk?Whereas men gained advantages in the case of some disease categories like chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), heart disease, and cirrhosis of the liver, women did not experience gains in most of these categories. Apart from marginal increases in COPD, cirrhosis, and remaining NCD categories, women's mortality risks deteriorated across the board. This indicates increasing gender inequality in access to healthcare, screening, and treatment.What Are Non-Communicable Diseases?NCDs, also referred to as chronic diseases, are chronic conditions that unfold gradually. They consist of cardiovascular diseases (heart disease and strokes), cancers, chronic lung diseases such as COPD and asthma, diabetes, and neuropsychiatric diseases. NCDs, as reported by the World Health Organization (WHO), are responsible for 71 percent of total deaths globally. Remarkably, almost three-quarters of premature NCD deaths—deaths that occur before the age of 70—occur in low- and middle-income nations such as India.The Alarming Case of Lung Cancer in IndiaA specific trend in lung cancer was emphasized by the Lancet report. Worldwide, lung cancer death decreased among men in 92 percent of nations. But India, Armenia, Iran, Egypt, and Papua New Guinea followed the opposite trend. This highlights India's peculiar susceptibility to lifestyle influences like excess tobacco use, air pollution, and late diagnosis.Globally, lower deaths due to cardiovascular diseases and certain cancers led to most of the reduction in NCD mortality. However, this achievement was countered by increasing deaths from dementia, liver and pancreatic cancers, and alcohol use disorders. According to the study, although clinical advances such as improved diabetes and hypertension medication, cancer screening, and better emergency treatment of heart attack saved many countries, not all populations were equally exposed.Why India Is Trailing Behind from the World?Various structural issues seem to account for India's deteriorating performance. The report cited that the health data quality from India is "very low," which made it more difficult to monitor, prevent, and treat NCDs properly. Meanwhile, disparities in access to medicines, screenings, and preventive care continue to be widespread.This was also fueled by the 2008 global recession. Its long shadow cut short health budgets and global health aid. Growing poverty, employment insecurity, and inadequate access to healthy foods also intensified inequalities in health. The poor, as well as vulnerable populations—usually women, the old, and poorer communities—were disproportionately hit.Risk Factors Fueling NCDsNCDs are highly interrelated with environmental and lifestyle determinants. They are largely driven by tobacco smoking, alcohol consumption, unhealthy diet, and physical inactivity. In India, these are added to by urbanization, air pollution, and unequal access to health care. Social determinants of health, where individuals are born, live, and work, further determine their exposure to the risk factors.Experts say that it will take systemic transformation to turn around India's NCD burden. Majid Ezzati, lead author of the study and professor at Imperial College London, urged huge investments in healthcare infrastructure, along with tobacco and alcohol control campaigns. These interventions, already proved effective elsewhere in the world, could save millions of lives if successfully adopted in India.The Lancet report gives a straightforward message: while large parts of the world are set to limit premature deaths from non-communicable diseases, India is in danger of being left behind. Women are especially hit with overly high risks that reflect underlying social and health inequalities.It will take a two-pronged response—better short-term access to NCD treatments and addressing upstream determinants such as tobacco smoking, unhealthy diets, and air pollution. It also calls for improved monitoring and improved healthcare systems to ensure all groups of people enjoy the benefits.
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